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Thursday, 20 September 2012

Etihad to invest in Jet Airways




New Delhi: With the government having allowed foreign carriers to buy up to 49 percent stake in domestic airlines, India’s leading private airline, Jet Airways could be the first to receive investment from Etihad Airways.

According to reports, both the airlines have held several rounds of discussions, fuelling speculation of a possible alliance.

Last week, the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs approved the FDI in aviation proposal, a permit that would allow foreign airlines to buy up to 49 percent in domestic carriers and a move which would pave way for much-needed equity infusion into India's airlines passing through acute turbulence as most of them are in dire need of funds for operations.

Jet Airways and Etihad had signed a code-sharing agreement in 2008 following which James Hogan, CEO of Etihad, sought the government’s permission to include more India-Abu Dhabi routes in its scheme.

If the deal works out, Jet Airways will be the first domestic airlines to receive foreign direct investment after the government’s policy clearance.




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Centre moves HC against staying DGCA order on Global Vectra Helicorp
Economic Times
NEW DELHI: The Centre today moved the Delhi High Court challenging its single judge's order staying aviation regulator DGCA's direction for suspending the permit of Ravi Rishi-led aviation firm Global Vectra Helicorp Ltd (GVHL) to operate its fleet of ...
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'I'm back in Afghanistan, I wonder what lies before me': The tragic last tweet ...
Daily Mail
Jeni Ayris, from Edinburgh, died alongside 11 fellow aviation workers when a female insurgent rammed a car laden with explosives into their minibus as they drove to the airport on Tuesday. Islamist group Hezb-e-Islami claimed responsibility for the ...
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Daily Mail
Bhadra staff brush off aviation storm
IBNLive.com
Most of the cargo handling staff attached to ground handling service provider Bhadra International remained impervious to the storm raised by Union MInister for Civil Aviation Ajit Singh. When contacted, most of them shrugged it off as mere bureaucracy ...
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It is now possible to approach strategic investors for the long haul: SL Narayanan
Business Standard
The shares of media tycoon Kalanithi Maran-owned companies have been rising since September 14, after the Government opened doors for foreign direct investment in aviation, DTH and cable TV. His Sun Group is one of the largest media houses in the ...
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FDI in aviation: Etihad to invest in Jet Airways?
Zee News
Last week, the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs approved the FDI in aviationproposal, a permit that would allow foreign airlines to buy up to 49 percent in domestic carriers and a move which would pave way for much-needed equity infusion into ...
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Zee News
Civil Aviation Minister Ch. Ajit Singh Asks Air India to Work Out Plan to ...
Invest in India
Union Minister of Civil Aviation Ch. Ajit Singh has asked Air India to submit to him in a week's time a plan to enhance its share in the domestic passenger market. The detailed plan has to include month-wise targets of market share alongwith ...
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Recession and jobs: Is energy the driver?



Economic and job growth are closely tied to energy consumption. While jobs can grow faster than energy use when efficiency kicks in, the cost may be lower wages.

The number of jobs available to job-seekers has been a problem for quite a long tine now—since 2000 in the United States, and longer than that in Europe. If we look at the percentage of the US population who are employed, it is now back to 1984 or 1985 levels

I have run into a number of clues about what is happening. In this post, I’d like to discuss what I am seeing. Part of the problem is that high oil costs squeeze the economy, reducing employment. Part of the problem is growing trade with Asia. It is even possible that the Kyoto protocol (which the US did not sign) has something to do with what we are seeing. Let me start by explaining a fairly strange relationship.

A Strange Relationship – A Close Tie Between the Amount of Energy Consumed and the Number of People Employed

Since 1982, the number of people employed in the United States has tended to move in a similar pattern to the amount of energy consumed. When one increases (or decreases), the other tends to increase (or decrease). In numerical terms, R2  = .98. (Click on Figure 2 above.)

RELATED: Top 5 nations that use renewable energy

I have written recently about the close long-term relationship between energy consumption and economic growth. We know that economic growth is tied to job creation, so it stands to reason that energy consumption would be tied to job growth1 . But I will have to admit that I was surprised by the closeness of the relationship for the period shown.

This close relationship is concerning, because if it holds in the future, it suggests that it will be very difficult to reduce energy consumption without a lot of unemployment. It also would seem to suggest that a shortage of energy supplies (as reflected by high prices) can lead to unemployment.

Why Rising Energy Cost (Particularly Oil) Leads to Lower Employment and Less Energy Consumption

Suppose oil prices rise2 . The critical issue is that consumers’ incomes do not rise at the same time. Consumers’ budgets get squeezed, and they cut back on discretionary spending. For example, they may go out to restaurants less, make fewer long-distance vacation trips, put off buying a new car, or contribute less to their favorite charities. Workers in discretionary sectors of the economy tend to get laid off, as a result. We have come to know this as part of recession.

(The impact of an oil price rise will be worse if other fuel prices, such as natural gas, rise as well. It will be mitigated, if natural gas prices are low, as they are in 2012 in the United States. Europe has much higher natural gas prices than the United States. This is big part of the reason why recessionary impacts are now worse in Europe than the United States.)

In the case of high oil prices and lay-offs, less energy of all types–not just oil–is used. Laid-off workers may move in with relatives, and thus reduce their living expenses. Each laid-off worker would have used oil to get to their job, and this will no longer be required. The jobs experiencing layoffs themselves may have required fuel use of various types, such as heat for buildings, fuel for airplanes, or electricity used in making new cars, and this is reduced as well.

There is also likely to be a link to housing prices. Moving up to a more expensive home is a discretionary expenditure. If people’s incomes are squeezed by high oil prices, and some are being laid off, there will be less demand for homes as well. This lower demand can be expected to reduce housing prices, especially in areas where commuting distances are longest (and thus, oil use for commuting greatest). There are also likely to be layoffs in the construction industry, as there is less demand for new homes and new buildings of all sorts.

As I have mentioned previously, James Hamilton (2011) has shown that 10 out of 11 recessions in the United States since World War II were associated with oil price spikes.

High Energy Costs in One Area Tend to Lead to Substitution to Places Where Energy Costs Are Lower

If there is a possibility of international trade, manufacturing and some types of services will tend to move to areas where costs are lowest. Part of these costs are energy costs. A manufacturer with cheap electricity costs will have an advantage over one with higher electricity costs. As energy costs rise (as they have in recent years), they get to be more important in determining where manufacturing will be done.

Besides direct energy costs, wages are another part of the difference in costs from one part of the world to another. Wages tend to be lower in the warmer areas of the world. In part, this is because energy from the sun provides much of the needed energy for heating homes, so there is less need for supplemental energy. This means that wages do not need to be as high for a comparable standard of living.




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Eurozone in Deepening Recession, Survey Finds
ABC News
Europe appears headed for a deepening economic recession despite a recent easing in market concerns over the three-year debt crisis, a closely-watched survey found Thursday. Financial data company Markit said its purchasing managers' index — a ...
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Irish Economy Skirts Recession
Wall Street Journal
DUBLIN—The Irish economy avoided slipping into recession by the narrowest possible margin in the second quarter, but shrinking domestic demand canceled out a rise in exports, raising new questions about whether the country can meet its budget targets ...
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Avoiding a Double-Dip Recession Doesn't Require Extending the Bush Tax Cuts
Huffington Post
Politicians, pundits, and the press corps are turning their attention to the so-called "fiscal cliff," the host of expiring tax provisions and scheduled spending cuts that will collectively push the U.S. economy into a double-dip recession in the first ...
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Low-income Southland households had biggest recession losses
Los Angeles Times
People of all income levels across Southern California suffered losses during and after the GreatRecession, but the lowest fifth of households took the biggest hit, new census data show. Los Angeles County households whose earnings put them in the ...
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Economy has bottomed out, census data suggests
NBCNews.com (blog)
"We may be seeing the beginning of the American family's recovery from the Great Recession," said Andrew Cherlin, a professor of sociology and public policy at Johns Hopkins University. He pointed in particular to the upswing in mobility and to young ...
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Recession and jobs: Is energy the driver?
Christian Science Monitor
This is big part of the reason why recessionary impacts are now worse in Europe than the United States.) In the case of high oil prices and lay-offs, less energy of all types–not just oil–is used. Laid-off workers may move in with relatives, and thus ...
See all stories on this topic »

Christian Science Monitor
Recession means lower incomes, more poverty for Coloradans, Census data show
Colorado Springs Gazette
Coloradans have lower real incomes, a higher percent are living in poverty and fewer own their own homes than the year before the recession began in 2007, according to an I-News analysis of Census figures released Wednesday. The analysis also found ...
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Euro To Threaten 1.2650 Amid Deepening Recession, Greek Restructuring
Inside Futures
The Euro sold off on Thursday as the economic docket showed a deepening recession in Europe, and the single currency may is likely to face additional headwinds over the near-term as the debt crisis continues to drag on the real economy. Talking Points ...
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Hamleys Sale Spotlights Recession-Proof Sector
The Herald | HeraldOnline.com
Although the rise of Toys R Us and video games have posed serious threats to traditional toy shops, the sector is widely seen as comparatively recession-proof. The 2008 financial crash sparked a resurgence in demand for traditional toys, which parents ...
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Region's minorities hit hardest by recession
Omaha World-Herald
The recession appears to have hit Omaha's minority workers harder than whites, and their job losses are getting worse in this fragile and slow recovery, according to new census data released today. One in five black Omahans was unemployed last year, ...
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Europe’s second-biggest airline, will combine short-haul operations outside its main Frankfurt and Munich hubs with the Germanwings low-cost unit as part of a cost-reduction effort.



Deutsche Lufthansa AG (LHA), Europe’s second-biggest airline, will combine short-haul operations outside its main Frankfurt and Munich hubs with the Germanwings low-cost unit as part of a cost-reduction effort.

The new unit will begin operations in January and fly 18 million passengers annually, Cologne, Germany-based Lufthansa said yesterday. Former Chief Executive Officer Wolfgang Mayrhuber and former Chief Financial Officer Karl-Ludwig Kley have been nominated to join Lufthansa’s supervisory board in 2013, with Mayrhuber becoming chairman, the airline also said.

Lufthansa has a companywide goal of saving 1.5 billion euros ($1.96 billion) through 2014 under a reorganization program dubbed Score. The company is cutting 3,500 jobs in administration and as many as 1,000 catering posts may be eliminated. The program has already helped improve earnings, with second-quarter operating profit increasing 28 percent to 361 million euros and exceeding analyst estimates.

“Combining our domestic German and European point-to-point services has enormous potential to improve efficiency,” CEO Christoph Franz said in a statement. “Our aim is to once again fly these services profitably under the umbrella of a single company.”

The carrier is predicting full-year operating profit in the “mid-three-digit million-euro range,” excluding restructuring costs of 100 million euros to 200 million euros.

Shares Gain
Lufthansa rose as much as 1.7 percent to 10.96 euros and was trading up 1.4 percent at 10:05 a.m. in Frankfurt, the best performance on Germany’s benchmark DAX Index (DAX), which declined 0.6 percent. The stock has gained 19 percent this year, valuing the company at 5.01 billion euros.

The European short-haul strategy is “absolutely crucial,” said Peter Oppitzhauser, a Zurich-based analyst at Credit Agricole with an outperform recommendation on Lufthansa. Unlike discount airlines, “they’re still a network carrier, so they still have to feed the hubs. So what they can do is slash the labor costs, which is what they’re trying to do.”

Mayrhuber, 65, stepped down as CEO at the end of 2010. He is supervisory board chairman at German semiconductor maker Infineon Technologies AG (IFX) and serves on the board of Swiss bank UBS AG. (UBSN) He will succeed Juergen Weber, who is retiring, Lufthansa said. Kley, the 61-year-old CEO of drugmaker Merck KGaA, will replace Klaus Schlede on the Lufthansa board.

Mayrhuber’s Acquisitions
Weber, 71, was also Mayrhuber’s direct predecessor as Lufthansa CEO, while Schlede is another former executive. During Mayrhuber’s term as chief from June 2003 through December 2010, Lufthansa bought BMI, Austrian Airlines and Swiss International Airlines, as well as stakes in JetBlue Airways Corp. (JBLU) and Brussels Airlines NV. Weber, Mayrhuber and Franz, 52, all started at Lufthansa before their 31st birthdays.

Franz’s administration is “concentrating on making units such as Austrian profitable,” rather than acquiring other carriers, spokeswoman Claudia Lange said Sept. 17. Franz concluded the sale of unprofitable BMI to British Airways’ parent International Consolidated Airlines Group in April.

“Their strategies as CEO certainly differ,” said Jochen Rothenbacher, a Frankfurt-based analyst at Equinet Bank AG who has a reduce recommendation on Lufthansa. “But that doesn’t mean Mayrhuber doesn’t support Franz’s current policies. That they had different approaches is true, but the times are also now different.”

Iberia Reorganization
Lufthansa’s operational reorganization echoes moves at competitors. Air France-KLM Group (AF), Europe’s biggest airline, cut its second-quarter operating loss by more than half to 66 million euros, aided by the introduction of a 2 billion-euro savings plan, the Paris-based carrier said July 30. British Airways owner IAG is planning job cuts at Spanish arm Iberia after the Madrid-based brand caused a second-quarter group loss.

IAG CEO Willie Walsh has been working on a turnaround at the Spanish business through the transfer of domestic and short- haul flights to a new unit, Iberia Express, which aims to reduce the break-even point with less-generous labor contracts. The unit was profitable in June, its third full month of operations, IAG said Aug. 3, adding that the wider Iberia restructuring plan may lead to extra costs this year.

Lufthansa is implementing “the same process as IAG with Iberia Express,” Credit Agricole’s Oppitzhauser said. “That’s also related to why the cabin crew is going on strike. They want to outsource 2,000 people to this new unit.”

Labor Dispute
Cabin crews at the German carrier walked out for three days in August and September. A sticking point in wage negotiations was the failure of Lufthansa to guarantee beyond next year that flight attendants wouldn’t be transferred to cheaper contracts at the low-cost division, the Unabhaengige Flugbegleiter Organisation union said at the time.

The strikes, which culminated in half of Lufthansa’s flights being canceled on Sept. 7, ended after the two parties agreed to mediation. Hans-Adalbert Ruerup, a former adviser to German Chancellor Angela Merkel, was appointed as the mediator on Sept. 13.

Lufthansa plans to build a logistics center at Frankfurt airport to replace a warehouse complex that’s more than 30 years old, the airline said yesterday. Construction of the new main building will begin in 2014, following work to prepare the site. The facility will open in 2018.

The project reverses an investment-plan freeze that Lufthansa’s cargo unit imposed following the imposition of a ban at Frankfurt last October on flights between 11 p.m. and 5 a.m., which largely affected air-freight services.

“It is astonishing that Lufthansa complains vociferously to the outside world about the night-flight ban, about how many millions it is costing, how it might leave, but then says it will invest half a billion euros in Frankfurt,” Equinet’s Rothenbacher said. “The whole argument against the night-flight ban now seems not to carry as much weight.”




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Lufthansa to Combine European Flights Into Low-Cost Unit

Businessweek
British Airways owner IAG is planning job cuts at Spanish arm Iberia after the Madrid-based brand caused a second-quarter group loss. IAG CEO Willie Walsh has been working on a turnaround at the Spanish business through the transfer of domestic and ...
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United Airlines to cut Guam jobs
Pacific Daily News
United Airlines yesterday said it remains committed to keeping Guam as one of its hubs, but confirmed it will shed potentially dozens of Guam jobs to keep costs down. The reductions stem from the airline's plan to close its Guam Contact Center, reduce ...
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Rick Scott: Turbine Maker's Job Cuts in Orlando Why Feds Must Cut Red Tape
Sunshine State News
Rick Scott said the federal government needs to do a better job of cutting regulations, as evidenced by the announcement from a Germany-based turbine maker to cut 60 positions in Orlando -- in part because of the looming expiration of a key U.S. wind ...
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Sunshine State News
American Airlines' letter to the Texas Workforce Commission regarding possible ...
Dallas Morning News (blog)
American also sent layoff warning notices to more than 11,000 mechanics, ground workers, store clerks and airport agents company-wide, but a spokesman said it expects job cuts to be closer to 4,400. (Read full story in today's paper.) Under the federal ...
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Deals of the Day: BofA Ramps Up Job Cuts
Wall Street Journal (blog)
BofA Ramps Up Job Cuts: Bank of America is accelerating a broad cost-cutting plan and has set a target of shedding 16,000 jobs by year's end. [WSJ]. Goldman & Comp: Goldman is facing “the Lazard problem” — a culture where employees expect to get paid ...
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Travellers will bypass city due to flight cuts
Stuff.co.nz
The airline would add another 50 jobs to its workforce although these would be skewed towards the North Island given that the airline had recently undertaken a recruitment drive in Christchurch, he said. Jetstar now held about 21 per cent of the ...
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