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Tuesday, 18 September 2012

Greece’s economy will have contracted by 25 percent by the time the recession ends



Greece’s economy will have contracted by 25 percent by the time the recession ends, the finance minister said Tuesday, as the government remained locked in talks with rescue lenders for its next major austerity program.

Yannis Stournaras made the remarks at a Greek-Chinese business forum, before senior officials from his ministry resumed negotiations with inspectors from the European Union, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund, known as the ‘‘troika.’’

‘‘The cumulative reduction (of gross domestic product) since 2008 is just under 20 percent and is expected to reach 25 percent by 2014,’’ Stournaras said.

Unpaid government bills and other debts to the private sector have reached €6.5 billion ($8.51 billion), he said.

The troika is demanding the government reduce its budget deficit by more than €11.5 billion ($15.1 billion) over two years as a condition for continued emergency loan payments.

Earlier Tuesday, Greece raised €1.3 billion ($1.7 billion) in a treasury bill auction, with the rate for the 13-week loans easing slightly to 4.31 percent.

The government’s Public Debt Management Agency said the sale of €1 billion in debt was oversubscribed 1.98 times, and the additional €300 million was raised in non-competitive bids.

The interest rate eased from 4.43 percent set at a T-Bill auction last month.












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Greece: recession will have shrunk economy 25 pct
Boston.com
ATHENS, Greece (AP) — Greece's economy will have contracted by 25 percent by the time therecession ends, the finance minister said Tuesday, as the government remained locked in talks with rescue lenders for its next major austerity program.
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Global Economy in Twilight Zone as Stocks Suggest Growth1
Bloomberg
Government Action. “Central banks have steered us from recession, but on their own they can't bring us into sustainable recovery,” he said. “To get out of the twilight zone takes government action.” At Credit Suisse, Garthwaite says quantitative easing ...
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Recession 2013: Here's What Jim Rogers is Doing
Resource Investor
In recent interviews, Rogers has been predicting a 2013 recession, bowled over by a potential blowout in Europe and unsustainable spending by the US government. "Be very worried about 2013 and be very worried about 2014, because that's when the next...
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Resource Investor
Expert: Miss. probably fell to recession midyear
Hattiesburg American
JACKSON (AP) — State economist Darrin Webb says Mississippi probably slipped into recessionbetween April and June during the 2nd quarter of 2012. Because of weak jobs numbers and other factors, he expects it to remain there in the 3rd quarter, which ...
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Random Thoughts: When Did Recession Become Public Enemy Number One?
Minyanville.com
We used to talk about this a lot on Minyanville—The Anatomy of a Recession—and that was four years ago! While the S&P (^GSPC) is roughly 140 points higher since those thoughts were first shared, we're left to wonder what the cumulative cost will be ...
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US trade deficit narrowed 12.1 percent in April-June quarter to $117.4 billion
Washington Post
Europe's debt crisis has pushed much of the region into recession. The region accounts for about one-fifth of U.S. export sales. And other major export markets, including China, India and Brazil, have experienced slower growth. The current account ...
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Recession is the best time to pick assets: Sajjan Jindal, CMD, JSW Steel
Times of India
MUMBAI: Sajjan Jindal is on the prowl for acquiring coking coal assets in Australia and Canada to fire furnaces of his 14.3-mtpa steel facilities in the state of Karnataka, even as raging controversies over 'illegal mining' threaten to disrupt his ...
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GOODMAN: The Great Depression vs. the great recession
Dearborn Press and Guide
For most of 2012, we have been inundated with statements by both political parties about how bad the Great Recession financial meltdown of 2008-09 really was, both in comparison to period just preceding it, 2001 to '07, as well as to the Great Depression.
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UConn economist says Connecticut won't fully recover from recession until 2018
New Haven Register
Economists from the University of Connecticut say it could take up to six years for the state's employment levels to fully recover from the last recession, according to a new quarterly report issued Monday. The latest edition of Connecticut Economy ...
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In the worst case scenario, 2,913 ground workers and mechanics in North Texas alone could be laid off.



Thousands of American Airlines workers have leaned they could lose their jobs as the airline restructures.

In the worst case scenario, 2,913 ground workers and mechanics in North Texas alone could be laid off.

In what are called WARN, or Worker Adjustment and Retraining Act, notices, the company officially informed the Transport Workers Union that a total of 11,159 TWU employees "may be affected by a job reduction" as the company restructures under bankruptcy.

In North Texas, the number includes 80 at American's headquarters in Fort Worth, 1,431 at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport and 1,402 at the Alliance Airport maintenance base that American is closing.

But union leaders and company spokesmen both stressed that the actual number will be far less.

"At the end of the day, when you factor in the people who are going to voluntarily leave, then that's going to mitigate how many people are actually going to be impacted," said Darrin Pierce, president of Air Transport Local 513. "And actually, the amount of people that's going to be impacted are far less than that 11,000 number."

"Because some of the incentive programs are still open and because the business changes will take place over several months, we don't yet have final furlough numbers," American Airlines spokesman Bruce Hicks said in a statement. "We are issuing WARN notices to the unions and employees who may be affected to comply with state and federal law, but expect the ultimate impact on jobs will be far less than the number of those notified."

The layoffs are set to begin on or around Nov. 16.

Thousands Could Be Affected by AA Job Cuts
NBC 5 Dallas-Fort Worth (blog)
American Airlines is cutting its schedule by 1 to 2 percent at least partly because of staffing shortages. Also, the airline says more than 11,000 TWU workers could be affected by job cuts. But union leaders and the company says the actual number of ...
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American Airlines cuts schedule for rest of September, October
Bizjournals.com (blog)
American Airlines Inc. (PK: AAMRQ) said Monday that it was reducing its schedule by 1 to 2 percent for the rest of September and all of October because of “a number of factors, including an increase in pilot sick levels and an increase in maintenance ...
See all stories on this topic »












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The U.S. aviation industry urged President Barack Obama on Monday to file a U.N. action to stop the EU from forcing foreign aircraft to pay for their carbon emissions ahead of a U.N. meeting that will try to make progress on a multilateral solution to the ongoing aviation row.




The U.S. aviation industry urged President Barack Obama on Monday to file a U.N. action to stop the EU from forcing foreign aircraft to pay for their carbon emissions ahead of a U.N. meeting that will try to make progress on a multilateral solution to the ongoing aviation row.

Nineteen aviation industry groups called on the president to initiate an Article 84 proceeding in the U.N.'s International Civil Aviation Organization ICAO.L, whose governing council will convene from October 29 to November 6.

"An Article 84 action will prompt, rather than impede, agreement and implementation of a global framework for addressing aviation greenhouse gas emissions," the groups, including the U.S. airline organization Airlines for America, wrote in their letter to Obama.

The letter said the body "has a proven track record of efficiently handling an Article 84 dispute while simultaneously advancing new environmental standards."

An Article 84 proceeding is a dispute mechanism available to ICAO's 191 member states, which would give ICAO's governing council the authority to decide on disputes that cannot be resolved between states.

GLOBAL ALTERNATIVE

Environmental groups and ICAO's Secretary General Raymond Benjamin have said they oppose the time-consuming action because it could undermine efforts by the body to devise a common plan.

ICAO has been under pressure to devise a global alternative to the European Union's carbon cap-and-trade system due to strong opposition from the United States, China and other nations, but the process has been slow.

It is in the process of weighing three market-based approaches for its members to take to help them cut their greenhouse gas emissions.

Benjamin told Reuters earlier this month that he expected the council to have a draft plan by March 2013, rather than the end of 2012 as had been previously thought.

The global system must approved by ICAO's 191 members at its autumn 2013 assembly.

The U.S. aviation groups, that also included the Aerospace Industries Association, warned that if left unchecked, the EU's imposition of its carbon trading scheme could extend beyond just foreign airlines.

"If this EU breach of U.S. sovereignty ... over our airspace and international waters - goes unanswered, it almost certainly will result in other such schemes affecting a variety of sectors of the U.S. economy," the letter said.

CONGRESSIONAL PRESSURE

Meanwhile, Congress may also put pressure on the Obama administration this week with the possible passage of a bill that would shield U.S. airlines from participating in the EU's emissions trading scheme.

Last week, Republican Senator John Thune had been prepared to put get a unanimous consent vote on the Senate floor on the bill he co-authored with Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill.

The senator called off the vote because some objections were raised, a Senate aide told Reuters.

But supporters of the Thune-McCaskill bill are negotiating compromise language to address lingering concerns, said Jean Medina, spokesperson for Airlines for America.

She said the senators hope to secure enough votes for passage before Senate goes into recess ahead of the November elections.













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